North Carolina vs. Kansas odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament title game prediction, March Madness picks by top expert

Hubert Davis and the North Carolina Tar Heels take on Bill Self and the Kansas Jayhawks in a pressure-packed matchup on Monday. UNC, the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Region, is enjoying an unlikely run, including upset wins over Baylor and Duke to reach the 2022 NCAA Tournament championship game. The Tar Heels are 29-9 overall. and 17-3 in the last 20 games. Kansas is on a 10-game winning streak after defeating Villanova in the Final Four, and the Jayhawks are 33-6 overall.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Jayhawks as four-point favorites for this 9:20 pm ET start. The total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, or over-under, is 151 in the latest Kansas vs. North Carolina. Before you choose between North Carolina and Kansas, be sure to check out SportsLine’s Matt Severance for the 2022 NCAA Tournament predictions.

A well-connected writer and tipster who has worked in the industry since 2005, Severance is on an impressive streak: He is a tremendous 105-73-4 in his last 182 college basketball picks against the sidelines, returning $2,400 to $100 to the bettors during that period. Anyone who has followed him is way up there.

Now, Severance has set his sights on Kansas vs. UNC and just posted his college basketball picks and predictions for March Madness 2022. He can head over to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are various college basketball odds and betting lines for UNC vs. Kansas:

  • Difference between Kansas and UNC: Kansas -4
  • Kansas vs. UNC over-under: 151 points
  • Money line Kansas vs. UNC: Kansas -210, UNC +175
  • KU: Jayhawks are 7-5 against the spread in games at neutral sites
  • UNC: Tar Heels are 6-4 against the spread in games at neutral sites

Why Kansas can cover

Kansas showed its considerable offensive potential in a blowout of Villanova on Saturday. The Jayhawks were virtually unstoppable in that neutral-site contest, shooting 54 percent from the floor and 13-for-24 from 3-point range en route to historically impressive efficiency. Ochai Agbaji and David McCormack led the attack in that game as they have for most of the season. Agbai is the reigning Big 12 Player of the Year, averaging 18.9 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, and is a dead-eye shooter, hitting 41 percent of 3-point attempts.

He broke out with 21 points and six 3-pointers against Villanova, and McCormack was even more dominant. The veteran big man scored 25 points on 10-of-12 shooting and grabbed nine rebounds in that win. Overall, Kansas is the No. 6 team in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, shooting 53.8 percent from 2-point attempts and 36.1 percent from 3-point attempts on the season.

Why North Carolina can cover

The Tar Heels have clear advantages in this matchup, led by a dynamic offense. North Carolina ranks near the top of the country in offensive efficiency and points per game, and the Tar Heels have a devastating starting unit that throws opposition tantrums. North Carolina is making more than 36 percent of their 3-point attempts on the season, and the Tar Heels excel in the battle for possession, securing more than 31 percent of available offensive rebounds and committing a turnover in just 16.4 percent of possessions.

Kansas is below average in turnover creation rate (18.1 percent) on defense, and the Jayhawks have just a 9.0 percent steal rate. The Jayhawks are also below average on the board, securing just 72.2 percent of available defensive rebounds. On defense, North Carolina is elite in two key areas, ranking No. 2 in the nation in defensive rebounding rate (78.4 percent) and firmly within the top 10 in the country in free throw rate allowed. Keeping Kansas away from the free throw line will be paramount, and the Tar Heels should be up for that challenge.

How to make predictions between Kansas and North Carolina

For North Carolina vs. Kansas, Severance is leaning down on point totals, but also says a critical X factor makes one side of the spread a must. He’s just sharing what he is, and which side of the UNC vs. Kansas extended back, on SportsLine.

Who wins North Carolina against Kansas? And which side of the spread is a must? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kansas vs. North Carolina gap you should jump on, all from the expert who has crushed your college basketball picks, and find out.

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