Only two games fill out today’s NBA slate, but Joe Dellera of The Action Network has three player prop bets to share (video above).
The first two come in a Western Conference contest between the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns. In that tilt, Dellera is backing both Luka Doncic over 33.5 points on -112 FanDuel and Deandre Ayton over 19.5 points +100 on BetMGM.
Mavericks vs. Suns prop bets: Deandre Ayton ‘over’ 19.5 points (+100) BetMGM | Luka Doncic ‘over’ 33.5 points (-112) FanDuel
Beginning with the latter, Dellera believes the value with Ayton lies with the Mavericks’ lack of interior presence.
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“Since the [Kristaps] Porzingis trade, the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 68 percent at the rim,” Dellera says.
Additionally, there’s a historical precedent with Ayton clearing this prop. In his last seven playoff games, the Arizona product has scored at least 20 points in six.
As for Doncic, he is a player that tends to rack up a lot of points when he logs heavy minutes.
“Luka has scored 38 or more points in 15 of 18 playoff games when he’s played at least 36 minutes,” Dellera says.
Given that Doncic is the main scoring option and the Suns’ defensive scheme is eliminating secondary options, Dellera expects Doncic to clear this sky-high total with relative ease.
76ers vs. Heat prop bets: Bam Adebayo ‘over’ 22.5 points + assists (-130) BetMGM
For his final prop, Dellera is heading to the Eastern Conference matchup between the Miami Heat and Philadelphia 76ers. In that contest, he’s backing Heat big man Bam Adebayo over 22.5 points + assists (-130) on BetMGM.
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The reasoning for Dellera comes down to the absence of Joel Embiid for the 76ers, which is, in turn, creating value in the market on Adebayo.
“[Adebayo] has basically gone over his assists line in eight of his last 10 playoff games and he got four in Game One,” Dellera says.
Add in that Adebayo racked up 24 points in the opening contest and that the 76ers really don’t have a big man to match and Dellera expects another strong performance from the Kentucky product.
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